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Roosevelt Recession

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Roosevelt Recession
NameRoosevelt Recession
Year1937–1938
LocationUnited States
PeriodGreat Depression era
CausesFiscal contraction, monetary tightening, reduced public works
ConsequencesUnemployment rise, industrial output decline, financial strain

Roosevelt Recession The Roosevelt Recession was a sharp downturn in the United States during 1937–1938 that interrupted recovery from the Great Depression and affected international Great Britain, France, Germany, Canada, and Japan. It followed earlier interventions including programs associated with Franklin D. Roosevelt, the New Deal, the Civilian Conservation Corps, and the Works Progress Administration. Analysts link the episode to decisions made by the Federal Reserve System, the United States Congress, and the Treasury Department, and to global developments involving the Gold Standard, the London Economic Conference, and shifting trade patterns with the United States Steel Corporation and the Ford Motor Company.

Background and Causes

Scholars locate origins in policy shifts after structural change wrought by the New Deal programs like the Agricultural Adjustment Act and the National Industrial Recovery Act, alongside financial dynamics involving the Federal Reserve and fiscal politics in the United States Congress. A contraction in fiscal policy allied with tightening by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System precipitated declines in asset prices noted in markets including the New York Stock Exchange and affected credit relationships with institutions such as the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the Home Owners' Loan Corporation. Internationally, disruptions in trade tied to tariff policy like the Smoot–Hawley Tariff Act and currency realignments involving the Bank of England fed back into industrial exporters such as the Bethlehem Steel Corporation and agricultural suppliers tied to the United States Department of Agriculture.

Economic Timeline and Key Indicators

The recession's onset in mid-1937 featured a sharp fall in industrial production tracked by data from manufacturing firms like General Motors and U.S. Steel, a rise in unemployment to levels revealed in contemporaneous reports from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and contraction in gross national product metrics compiled by the National Bureau of Economic Research. By late 1937 output in sectors exemplified by the Steel Strike of 1937 and automotive factories contracted, while stock indices on the New York Stock Exchange registered steep declines. In 1938 recovery accelerated after midyear, influenced by spending shifts similar to those advocated by economists associated with John Maynard Keynes, Alvin Hansen, and debates in journals linked to the American Economic Association.

Policy Responses and the New Deal

Federal responses combined renewed public spending from agencies such as the Public Works Administration, revisions to tax policy debated in the United States Senate, and monetary accommodation by the Federal Reserve Board. Roosevelt administration officials including Harry Hopkins, Henry Morgenthau Jr., and Harold L. Ickes clashed over scale and timing of interventions under executive authority vested through the Executive Office of the President. Legislative instruments like amendments to the Social Security Act and expanded appropriations for the Works Progress Administration were enacted amid negotiation with congressional leaders including Senator Robert F. Wagner and Speaker Joseph W. Byrns Sr..

Impact on Labor, Industry, and Agriculture

The downturn increased unemployment among workers in manufacturing centers such as Detroit, Pittsburgh, and Chicago and intensified labor disputes connected to unions like the Congress of Industrial Organizations and the American Federation of Labor. Strikes and organizing drives in plants owned by General Motors and Packard Motor Car Company intersected with public relief efforts administered through municipal offices coordinated with state governors such as Frank Murphy and Herbert H. Lehman. Farm income declines affected producers in the Dust Bowl regions and prompted renewed attention to programs like the Soil Conservation Service and commodity controls tied to the Agricultural Adjustment Administration.

Political and Public Reactions

Public perception of the downturn influenced the 1938 midterm campaigns, shaping contests involving figures such as Al Smith, Huey Long factions, and conservative Democrats allied with Republicans like Robert A. Taft. Media outlets including the New York Times and Time (magazine) debated Roosevelt's stewardship, while opinion leaders in institutions like the Brookings Institution and the National Association of Manufacturers framed diverse critiques. The administration faced pressure from rural constituencies in states such as Iowa and Kansas and urban voters in New York City and Philadelphia.

Historiography and Economic Debate

Historians and economists continue to debate causal emphasis between monetary actions by the Federal Reserve System and fiscal retrenchment advocated by officials like Henry Morgenthau Jr.. Interpretations range from monetarist accounts associated with scholars influenced by Milton Friedman to Keynesian framings advanced by commentators linked to John Maynard Keynes and Alvin Hansen. Revisionist narratives by historians connected to the Economic History Association and publications in the Journal of American History examine roles of institutions such as the Treasury Department and the Works Progress Administration, while comparative studies involving Great Britain and France explore international transmission through trade networks of firms like Brown Brothers Harriman and J.P. Morgan & Co..

Category:Great Depression