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| Mexican presidential election | |
|---|---|
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| Name | Mexican presidential election |
| Country | Mexico |
| Type | presidential |
| Previous election | Mexican general election, 2018 |
| Next election | Mexican general election, 2024 |
| Election date | Various (six-year cycle) |
| Turnout | Variable |
Mexican presidential election is the national process by which the President of Mexico is chosen for a six-year term. It involves an interplay of political parties such as Institutional Revolutionary Party, National Action Party, and Party of the Democratic Revolution, as well as coalitions, electoral institutions like the National Electoral Institute, and legal frameworks including the Mexican Constitution. The contest shapes relations among federal entities like Mexico City, states such as Jalisco and Nuevo León, and actors including presidents, governors, and municipal leaders.
Mexico elects its head of state by a plurality system under rules set by the Mexican Constitution and administered by the National Electoral Institute. Candidates are nominated by registered organizations such as the Institutional Revolutionary Party, National Action Party, Party of the Democratic Revolution, National Regeneration Movement, and smaller groups like the Labor Party (Mexico), Green Ecologist Party of Mexico, and the Citizens' Movement (Mexico). Campaign financing and media access are regulated by the Federal Electoral Tribunal, the Electoral Code of the Federal District (historical), and reforms enacted by legislators in the Congress of the Union. Ballots are cast at precincts overseen by citizen boards composed under rules from the Federal Electoral Institute (former) and the Judicial Branch of Mexico resolves disputes. International observers from bodies such as the Organization of American States and the United Nations have monitored contests.
Presidential contests evolved from early republic elections following independence from Spain and the era of leaders like Antonio López de Santa Anna and Benito Juárez. The Porfiriato under Porfirio Díaz centralized power until the Mexican Revolution produced political realignments and the formation of the National Revolutionary Party, later the Institutional Revolutionary Party. The PRI dominated much of the twentieth century until competitive multiparty elections brought presidents from the National Action Party such as Vicente Fox and Felipe Calderón. The emergence of the Party of the Democratic Revolution and later the National Regeneration Movement reshaped coalitions, while crises like the Tlatelolco massacre and reforms after the 1994 Mexican peso crisis influenced electoral law. Key legal milestones include the 1990s electoral reforms and the 2014 constitutional changes that altered candidacy rules and campaign finance.
Major contenders typically come from parties such as the Institutional Revolutionary Party, National Action Party, National Regeneration Movement, Party of the Democratic Revolution, and the Citizens' Movement (Mexico). Figures who have stood for the presidency include Andrés Manuel López Obrador, Enrique Peña Nieto, Felipe Calderón, Vicente Fox, Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas, Luis Donaldo Colosio, and Diego Fernández de Cevallos. Parties forge alliances with regional actors like governors of Veracruz, leaders from Sinaloa and Chiapas, and municipal coalitions in Monterrey and Guadalajara. Candidates often have backgrounds as senators from the Senate of the Republic (Mexico), deputies from the Chamber of Deputies (Mexico), governors, or cabinet members in administrations of presidents such as Carlos Salinas de Gortari and Miguel de la Madrid.
Campaigns address issues tied to public security debates involving cartels such as the Sinaloa Cartel and policies connected to institutions like the National Guard (Mexico), economic topics linked to trade agreements such as the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement, social policy influenced by programs initiated by presidents like Luis Echeverría and Ernesto Zedillo, and energy debates involving Petróleos Mexicanos and reforms affecting the Energy Regulatory Commission (Mexico). Campaign rhetoric is shaped by events including the Ayotzinapa kidnapping and controversies tied to corruption cases involving actors such as Javier Duarte and companies like Odebrecht. Media strategies use outlets like Televisa, TV Azteca, and publications such as El Universal and La Jornada, while debates are organized by the National Electoral Institute and civil society groups including Tijuanenses por la Democracia-style organizations and academic centers like the El Colegio de México.
Polling firms and research institutes such as Parametría, GEA-ISA, Mitofsky, Consulta Mitofsky, Gabinete de Comunicación Estratégica, and international analysts at the Pew Research Center and Edison Research produce surveys. Forecasts use data from voting intentions in states including Chihuahua and Puebla and demographic analyses from the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). Polls incorporate turnout models, historical baselines from elections like Mexican general election, 2006 and Mexican general election, 2012, and scenario analyses employed by academics at universities such as the National Autonomous University of Mexico and the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education.
Election day procedures rely on precinct organization, polling station materials procured under standards from the National Electoral Institute, and citizen participation through the Federal Electoral Institute's successor mechanisms. Ballot security, chain-of-custody protocols, and tallying use technologies vetted by the Federal Electoral Tribunal and sometimes monitored by international delegations from the Organization of American States. Logistics address rural zones in states like Oaxaca and indigenous communities represented under norms related to the Indigenous Rights framework, with accessibility considerations coordinated with the National Institute for the Elderly (INAPAM) and electoral outreach managed in part by organizations such as Fundar, Centro de Análisis e Investigación.
Results are certified by the National Electoral Institute and adjudicated by the Federal Electoral Tribunal when challenged. Outcomes have led to transitions involving presidents like Andrés Manuel López Obrador, Enrique Peña Nieto, Felipe Calderón, and Vicente Fox, with post-election effects on cabinet appointments, relations with the United States and Canada, and policy shifts affecting institutions such as Petróleos Mexicanos and the Bank of Mexico. Disputed results have provoked protests in locations such as Zócalo (Mexico City) and legal contests invoking amendments to the Mexican Constitution and rulings by the Supreme Court of Justice of the Nation. International reactions have come from entities like the European Union and the Organization of American States.
Category:Elections in Mexico