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| Hwasong-15 | |
|---|---|
| Name | Hwasong-15 |
| Type | Intercontinental ballistic missile |
| Origin | Democratic People's Republic of Korea |
| Propellant | Liquid |
Hwasong-15 is an intercontinental ballistic missile developed by the Democratic People's Republic of Korea that first entered public attention during a 2017 flight test, drawing responses from regional and global actors. The system has been discussed alongside strategic programs and institutions such as Pyongyang, Central Scientific Research Institute, Korean People's Army Strategic Force, and international organizations including United Nations Security Council, International Atomic Energy Agency, and Arms Control Association. Analysts from think tanks and research institutes such as Institute for Science and International Security, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Center for Strategic and International Studies, International Institute for Strategic Studies, and Rand Corporation have evaluated its implications for regional security.
The missile emerged in the context of DPRK programs linked to earlier systems like designs reported by Korea Aerospace Research Institute and the historical progression from missiles such as designs comparable to Taepodong-2, No Dong, and Hwasong-14. Public displays and parades in Pyongyang involved elements associated with organizations such as Korean Workers' Party, National Defence Commission, and laboratories like Munitions Industry Department. Assessments by institutions including Federation of American Scientists, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Brookings Institution, and Carnegie Endowment for International Peace placed the missile within broader strategic narratives also involving actors like United States Department of Defense, United States Indo-Pacific Command, Ministry of National Defense (South Korea), and Ministry of National Defense (Japan).
Development was reported by state media organs linked to Korean Central News Agency and was tracked by satellite imagery from commercial providers and agencies such as National Reconnaissance Office, European Space Agency, and Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency. Flight tests in 2017 prompted analysis by experts at CSIS Missile Defense Project, IISS Military Balance, RAND Corporation, Center for Strategic and International Studies, and private firms including Jane's Information Group and Aviation Week. Technical study referenced prior programs associated with entities like Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology, Makeyev Rocket Design Bureau, and historical comparisons to SS-18 Satan and RT-2PM Topol in scholarly work from Harvard Kennedy School and Stanford University.
Open-source estimates published by researchers at James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Federation of American Scientists, Union of Concerned Scientists, Academic Council on the United Nations System, and Center for Nonproliferation Studies have discussed dimensions and warhead capacity in relation to reentry vehicle concepts evident in archives from Sandia National Laboratories, Los Alamos National Laboratory, and analytical reports from Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. Comparative design discussion referenced historical missiles such as Minuteman III, Peacekeeper (MX), and RS-20 Voevoda, as well as testbed concepts from Marshall Space Flight Center and Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
Propulsion analysis drew parallels with liquid-propellant development programs examined at Khrunichev State Research and Production Space Center, NPO Energomash, and comparative studies involving engines profiled by NASA and European Space Agency. Guidance and control assessments referenced inertial guidance systems and potential terminal-phase maneuvers, with technical commentary from researchers affiliated with Massachusetts Institute of Technology, California Institute of Technology, University of Cambridge, Tsinghua University, and Peking University. Related telemetry and tracking data were analyzed by agencies including Ballistic Missile Defense Organization, Missile Defense Agency, United States Strategic Command, South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff, and Japan Self-Defense Forces.
Operational status has been debated in reports from the South Korea Ministry of National Defense, United States Department of Defense, Japan Ministry of Defense, and independent analysts at IISS, CSIS, and RAND Corporation. Regional security events involving the missile intersected with diplomatic episodes such as negotiations linked to the Six-Party Talks, summits between leaders like Donald Trump, Kim Jong-un, and interlocutors from China and Russia. Monitoring and alert posture involved systems operated by United States Indo-Pacific Command, NORAD, ROK Air Force, and allied assets including units from United States Pacific Fleet and Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force.
The missile's development influenced strategic calculations involving nuclear policy debates in United States Congress, consultations within NATO, and regional security dialogues among Republic of Korea, Japan, China, Russia, and extra-regional partners such as Australia and India. Analyses by policy centers like Brookings Institution, Council on Foreign Relations, Chatham House, Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies, and Lowy Institute considered implications for deterrence, extended deterrence commitments by the United States, and possible adjustments to posture by alliances such as the US-ROK Alliance and the US-Japan Security Alliance.
Global responses involved diplomatic and economic measures coordinated at institutions including the United Nations Security Council, enforcement by United Nations Security Council Resolution 1718 (2006), later resolutions and sanctions committees, as well as multilateral sanctions regimes administered by the European Union, United States Department of the Treasury, and Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. Reactions included statements from heads of state such as Moon Jae-in, Shinzo Abe, Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, Donald Trump, and multilateral commentary from organizations like ASEAN Regional Forum, G7, and APEC.