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| Centre for Economic and Business Research | |
|---|---|
| Name | Centre for Economic and Business Research |
| Formation | 1992 |
| Founder | Michael Oxley |
| Type | Think tank |
| Headquarters | London |
| Location | London, United Kingdom |
| Leader title | Director |
| Leader name | Michael Saunders |
Centre for Economic and Business Research is a London-based independent think tank focused on applied macroeconomics, microeconomics, and economic forecasting. It provides analysis for business, public policy, and investment audiences through reports, models, and commentary. The organisation interacts with actors such as United Kingdom Treasury, European Commission, Bank of England, and private firms in sectors including automotive industry, telecommunications, and retail industry.
The institute was founded in 1992 amid debates involving figures like John Major and institutions such as the European Union and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Early outputs engaged with policy disputes connected to the Maastricht Treaty, Exchange Rate Mechanism, and debates over monetary union. Over time the organisation produced work relevant to events such as the 2008 financial crisis, the Eurozone crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic. Its timeline includes interactions with bodies like International Monetary Fund, World Bank, Financial Conduct Authority, and national agencies such as Office for National Statistics.
The centre's governance has involved directors, advisory boards, and corporate structures comparable to those of Institute for Fiscal Studies, Resolution Foundation, and National Institute of Economic and Social Research. Leadership appointments have been shaped by relationships with universities including London School of Economics, University College London, University of Oxford, and University of Cambridge. Its advisory network has included analysts with past affiliations to institutions like Goldman Sachs, Barclays, KPMG, PwC, Deloitte, and academic appointments at Imperial College London and University of Manchester.
Research spans areas such as labour market analysis relevant to Trades Union Congress, pension projections used by Department for Work and Pensions, productivity studies informing Confederation of British Industry, and sectoral studies for National Health Service procurement. Publications include forecasts, briefing papers, and sector reports analogous to outputs from Brookings Institution, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Chatham House, and RAND Corporation. The centre's topical coverage has included technology issues affecting firms like Apple Inc., Google LLC, Microsoft Corporation, transport studies implicating Network Rail, Transport for London, and energy analyses tied to companies such as BP plc and Royal Dutch Shell.
Methodological frameworks draw on forecasting techniques used by IMF, European Central Bank, and Bank for International Settlements. Models incorporate time series methods familiar from research at Stanford University, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and Princeton University. Data sources include releases from Office for National Statistics, trade data from World Trade Organization, financial series from London Stock Exchange, and industry statistics from organisations like Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders and British Retail Consortium. Scenario analysis has referenced case studies related to Brexit, COP26, and supply-chain disruptions linked to events in Suez Canal and ports such as Port of Felixstowe.
Reports have been cited by media outlets including Financial Times, The Economist, The Guardian, The Daily Telegraph, BBC News, and policy stakeholders such as House of Commons Treasury Committee and House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee. Academic reception has compared its work to that of Centre for Policy Studies and Institute of Directors, and its methodologies have been discussed at conferences at Royal Economic Society and seminars at National Institute of Social and Economic Research. Critiques have come from commentators associated with Adam Smith Institute and analyses in journals like Economic Journal and Fiscal Studies.
Funding and partnership models mirror arrangements seen with Nesta, Wellcome Trust, Joseph Rowntree Foundation, and corporate partners including Unilever, Rolls-Royce Holdings, HSBC, and Vodafone Group. The centre has undertaken commissioned work for public bodies such as Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy and international organisations including United Nations Development Programme and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Collaborative research has involved academic partners at University of Warwick, University of Leeds, University of Edinburgh, and think tanks like Policy Exchange and Smith Institute.
Notable reports assessed the economic footprint of sectors like tourism with relevance to VisitBritain, transport studies connected to Heathrow Airport, and digital economy analyses tied to Amazon (company). Impact examples include contributions to debates on corporation tax reform discussed in Chancellor of the Exchequer briefings, labour-supply analyses informing Department for Education policy discussions, and environmental-economy modelling relevant to Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs and climate forums such as United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. The centre's forecasts have been used by investors active on indices like the FTSE 100 Index and cited in submissions to inquiries led by committees such as the Public Accounts Committee.
Category:Think tanks based in the United Kingdom