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Bougainville referendum

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Bougainville referendum
NameBougainville referendum
CountryPapua New Guinea
LocationBougainville (Autonomous Region)
Date23 November – 7 December 2019
QuestionDo you want Bougainville to have greater autonomy or to become independent?
Electorate206,000 (approx.)
Turnout88.2%
OutcomeOver 97% voted for independence

Bougainville referendum was a non-binding consultative poll held in the Autonomous Region of Bougainville (Autonomous Region) between 23 November and 7 December 2019 to determine whether the population preferred greater autonomy or full independence from Papua New Guinea. The ballot followed the 2001 Bougainville Peace Agreement that ended the 1988–1998 Bougainville conflict involving the Bougainville Revolutionary Army, the Republic of the Congo-style? actors and PNG Defence Force engagements, and formed part of a supervised transitional process under the auspices of regional and international guarantors including New Zealand, Australia, and the Pacific Islands Forum. The vote achieved an overwhelming majority favoring independence, prompting extended negotiations between Autonomous Bougainville Government, National Parliament of Papua New Guinea, and international stakeholders.

Background

The referendum grew out of the post-conflict settlement negotiated in the Bougainville Peace Agreement of 2001, which itself followed the prolonged insurgency led by the Bougainville Revolutionary Army against the Bougainville Copper Limited operations and security forces including the Royal Papua New Guinea Constabulary. Key figures in the peace process included Joseph Kabui, John Momis, and James Tanis, and institutions such as the Bougainville Interim Government and the Autonomous Bougainville Government implemented the agreement’s provisions. International mediators and guarantors—New Zealand, Australia, Solomon Islands, Fiji, and the Pacific Islands Forum—helped establish the Bougainville Referendum Commission and the United Nations-style monitoring frameworks, while the settlement integrated customary landowner structures and reconciliation mechanisms rooted in local practice across Bougainville Island and associated islands.

Referendum process

The electoral mechanism was administered under laws passed by the National Parliament of Papua New Guinea and measures enacted by the Autonomous Bougainville Government with technical support from the Bougainville Referendum Commission chaired by Sir John T. F. Waite? and observers from Commonwealth of Nations delegations, the European Union, and various non-governmental groups such as International Crisis Group and Transparency International. Voter registration drew on rolls maintained by the Electoral Commission of Papua New Guinea and local ward officials, with polling stations across constituencies like Buka, Kieta, Arawa, and rural districts. Campaigns featured political leaders including Petersson Wahanga? and civil society groups like Bougainville Women for Peace advocating for different options; ballot options were limited to "greater autonomy" or "independence" per the peace agreement. Security arrangements involved the United Nations-style monitors, the PNG Defence Force in coordination with local policing, and logistical partners including Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade personnel.

Results and aftermath

The official tally reported roughly 97.7% of valid ballots in favor of independence with turnout around 88%, prompting statements from leaders including John Momis of the Autonomous Bougainville Government and Prime Minister James Marape of Papua New Guinea. The result led to a period of consultation and domestic parliamentary procedures in Port Moresby and discussions at regional forums such as the Pacific Islands Forum and bilateral talks with Australia and New Zealand. Pro-independence organizations including former Bougainville Revolutionary Army members and civil society advocates saw the result as a mandate, while opponents invoked constitutional requirements under the Constitution of Papua New Guinea. The outcome also spurred renewed attention from the International Labour Organization concerning land and resource rights around the Panguna mine formerly operated by Bougainville Copper Limited.

Legally, the consultation was non-binding under the Constitution of Papua New Guinea and required ratification by the National Parliament of Papua New Guinea to effect constitutional change, leading to complex negotiations between Autonomous Bougainville Government negotiators and national authorities. The result raised issues under international law concerning self-determination and decolonization precedents like the East Timor independence referendum and arrangements seen in the Kosovo declaration of independence, while regional legal scholars referenced instruments including the UN Charter and jurisprudence from the International Court of Justice. Political ramifications influenced actors such as regional governments (Australia, New Zealand, United States) and multilateral institutions including the Asian Development Bank dealing with development assistance, and domestic policy debates in the National Parliament of Papua New Guinea over fiscal autonomy, natural resource revenue-sharing, and constitutional amendment procedures.

International response

International reactions ranged from diplomatic engagement to cautious statements from bilateral partners. Australia and New Zealand emphasized peaceful negotiations and offered mediation capacity, while the United Nations encouraged a negotiated settlement respecting the Bougainville Peace Agreement framework. The European Union and United States sent observer teams and called for inclusive talks on implementation; neighboring states like the Solomon Islands and Fiji offered support for stability and regional cooperation. Development partners including the World Bank and Asian Development Bank signaled readiness to assist with transition planning contingent on political agreements between Port Moresby and Buka authorities.

Implementation and autonomy negotiations

Following the vote, the Autonomous Bougainville Government and National Government of Papua New Guinea entered a series of bargaining rounds mediated by guarantors such as New Zealand and the Pacific Islands Forum to determine timelines, constitutional amendments, and transitional arrangements. Core topics included governance structures, citizenship, defense arrangements, control over natural resources including the Panguna mine site, revenue-sharing formulas with entities like Bougainville Copper Limited, and institutional capacity-building supported by partners such as the Asian Development Bank and United Nations Development Programme. Negotiations aimed to transform the consultative mandate into a binding political settlement acceptable to the National Parliament of Papua New Guinea and compliant with international commitments under the Bougainville Peace Agreement.

Category:Referendums in Oceania