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| ANU Polling | |
|---|---|
| Name | ANU Polling |
| Type | academic research |
| Founded | 2019 |
| Headquarters | Australian National University |
ANU Polling
ANU Polling is a public opinion research program based at the Australian National University. It conducts nationally representative surveys on topics including political leadership, public policy, and social attitudes, informing debates involving figures such as Anthony Albanese, Scott Morrison, Julie Bishop, Peter Dutton, and Penny Wong. The program produces reports cited alongside work from institutions like the Lowy Institute, Ipsos, YouGov, Essential Media, and the Australian Electoral Commission.
ANU Polling was established within the Australian National University to provide systematic data on citizen preferences and behaviours concerning elections, public administration, and national debates involving actors such as Julia Gillard, Kevin Rudd, Malcolm Turnbull, Gough Whitlam, and John Howard. Its reports are used by commentators at outlets including The Australian, Sydney Morning Herald, The Guardian (Australia), ABC (Australian Broadcasting Corporation), and SBS (Special Broadcasting Service), and referenced in briefings for organisations like the Parliament of Australia, Treasury (Australia), and the Productivity Commission. The program collaborates with scholars affiliated with centres including the Crawford School of Public Policy, the ANU College of Arts and Social Sciences, and the ANU College of Business and Economics.
ANU Polling utilises sampling approaches informed by standards from bodies like the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the Australian Electoral Commission, and international practices used by Pew Research Center, Gallup, and Eurobarometer. Survey modes have included online panels, telephone interviewing, and mixed-mode designs consistent with guidance from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and statistical techniques cited by authors such as Andrew Gelman, Simon Jackman, and Joshua Clinton. Weighting procedures reference demographic benchmarks related to populations compiled by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and use stratification variables similar to those in studies by The Pew Research Center and RAND Corporation. Questionnaire design draws on standards present in work by Dimitri Schepers, Donald Green, and Amy Mitchell.
Reports from ANU Polling have documented shifts in approval for leaders including Anthony Albanese and opposition figures like Peter Dutton and have tracked public sentiment on policy areas involving ministers such as Jim Chalmers and Mitch Fifield. Findings highlight changes in attitudes toward topics debated in parliaments overseen by presiding officers like Tony Smith (Australian politician) and Andrew Wallace (Australian politician), as well as public responses to events such as the 2019 Australian federal election and the 2022 Australian federal election. Comparative analyses reference international case studies involving leaders like Boris Johnson, Joe Biden, Emmanuel Macron, and Justin Trudeau to situate Australian trends within global patterns identified by organisations like Ipsos and YouGov.
ANU Polling’s releases are frequently covered by national media outlets such as Nine News, Sky News Australia, The Age, and Crikey. Journalists and columnists who have cited its findings include writers associated with Laurie Oakes, Katharine Murphy, Paul Kelly (journalist), and Eureka Street, while broadcasters referencing its data include presenters from ABC News 24, SBS World News, and morning programs hosted by figures like Rachel Baxendale and Insiders (TV program). Its data have been used in commentary alongside analyses from think tanks including the Grattan Institute, the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, and the Centre for Independent Studies.
ANU Polling has faced methodological critiques similar to those directed at other survey programmes such as Newspoll and YouGov, including debates about sample representativeness raised by commentators from outlets like The Sydney Morning Herald and The Guardian (Australia). Academic responses invoking authors such as Gary King, Henry Brady, and Megan C. C. Hinojosa have questioned margin-of-error interpretations and the impacts of non-response bias as discussed in literature from the American Statistical Association and critiques levelled at election forecasting methods used in the 2019 Australian federal election and the 2022 Australian federal election. Debates have involved comparisons to historical polling errors exemplified by outcomes in events like the 2015 United Kingdom general election and the 2016 United States presidential election.
ANU Polling contributes data used in peer-reviewed work published in journals where scholars such as Ian McAllister, Clive Bean, Sarah Maddison, and Hugh White publish analyses linking public opinion to policy debates in venues frequented by members of the Parliament of Australia and policy units within the Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet (Australia). Its datasets support research on electoral behaviour, public attitudes towards foreign policy shaped by events like the AUKUS agreement and relations with China, and social policy debates involving legislation such as the Medicare (enacted 1984) framework and pension reforms debated in sessions of the Parliament of Australia.
ANU Polling’s work is compared to domestic programmes including Newspoll, Essential Media, Roy Morgan Research, and international surveys such as those by Pew Research Center, Gallup, YouGov, and the European Social Survey. Comparative methodology discussions draw on case studies from elections like the 2019 United Kingdom general election, the 2016 United States presidential election, the 2017 French presidential election, and the 2020 New Zealand general election to evaluate forecasting performance and sampling strategies.
Category:Public opinion research